38: Assessing the Market for Micromobility in African and Asian cities
In this episode, Horace and Oliver run over Horace’s insights from his recent research using UN data into city-level potential for micromobility markets globally. We run through the most interesting growth trends in 1800+ cities.
Specifically we look at:
Contextualizing the rapid growth in car-based urbanization as part of a 5000 year trend
Why Africa is one of the most interesting potential markets between now and 2035.
The cities positioned for both the fastest growth and largest increase.
How the low-income demographics of new migrants to these emerging mega-cities necessitates the need for cheap micromobility transport
Why we should look at auto-ownership rates to understand the 'low-end' potential of micromobility.
The likely business models we'll see emerge with the confluence of autonomy, networking and new propulsion options.
How these vehicles will beat the current incumbents of petrol powered scooters in Asia
The things mentioned in the episode are:
The blog post that Horace has written on the micromobility markets by city https://micromobility.io/blog/2019/8/16/cities-of-tomorrow
The talk by Jeremy Grantham re: the majority of increase in global population coming from Africa between now and 2100 - https://youtu.be/cPCblFpqrkI?t=1635
As requested, if anyone has a suggestion for an interview guest for micromobility in India or Africa, please message me on Twitter @oliverbruce. Thanks!
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